Maryland Electricity Markets: Past Successes & Future Hurdles

Maryland's energy landscape has reached a pivotal moment in January 2026. While the "spirit of competition" established in 1999 remains the state's foundation, a surge in regional power demand, primarily from data centers, is reshaping what Marylanders see on their monthly statements.

The Reality of Rates in 2026

In Maryland's competitive market, you have the power to choose your supplier, yet your total bill is influenced by broader regional forces. As of early 2026, Maryland residential electricity rates average approximately 18.83 cents per kWh, which is about 14% higher than the national average of 16.58 cents.

The primary driver of recent bill increases is a spike in capacity prices within the PJM Interconnection (the regional grid operator). Capacity auctions, which ensure enough power is available for future years, saw prices soar from roughly $29 per megawatt-day in 2024 to a record-breaking $329 per megawatt-day for the 2026/2027 delivery year.

The "Data Center" Factor

A significant portion of these rising costs is attributed to the massive power demands of data centers, many of which are located in neighboring Northern Virginia but impact the entire regional grid.

  • BGE Customers: In 2025-2026, many households saw bill increases of approximately $16 to $21 per month solely due to these capacity market shifts.

  • Economic Transfer: Maryland’s Office of People’s Counsel (OPC) estimated that data center demand was responsible for roughly $9.3 billion in increased costs across the PJM region.

Group Impacts and the "Energy Burden"

Electricity costs do not affect all Marylanders equally. In 2026, the "energy burden"-the percentage of gross income spent on energy-remains a critical issue for equity.

  • Low-Income Vulnerability: Low-income households (earning 200% or less of the Federal Poverty Level) face an average statewide gross energy burden of 12% to 15%, far exceeding the 6% affordability threshold.

  • Regional Disparities: Residents in Baltimore City and the Eastern Shore carry the highest net energy burdens in the state, reaching up to 11% even after assistance.

  • Racial Equity: Research indicates that Black and African American populations, particularly in urban centers like Baltimore and the eastern parts of the D.C. metro area, often face higher energy burdens due to systemic housing and income inequities.

To combat this, the Maryland Energy Administration has announced $25 million in new grants for the FY2026 Residential Energy Equity Program, specifically targeting home efficiency and solar upgrades for income-qualified residents.

Maryland's 2026 Environmental Footprint

Maryland is racing toward some of the nation's most ambitious climate goals, including a 60% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2031 and 100% clean energy by 2035.

  • Emissions Reductions: As of early 2026, statewide emissions have dropped approximately 30% from 2006 levels. While progress has stabilized recently, the electricity sector has achieved a 10% drop in emissions since 2020.

  • Renewable Mix: Nuclear power remains a cornerstone, providing roughly 40% of Maryland's electricity. Solar and wind are growing, but experts suggest the state needs to accelerate solar installations to meet its 14.5% solar carve-out by 2030.

The Debate: Competition vs. "Reregulation"

As we move through 2026, a major policy debate is unfolding in Annapolis. Large utilities like Exelon (BGE, Pepco) are lobbying to return to a "utility-build" model, where they would own the power plants they distribute from.

  • The Utility Argument: Proponents say utility-owned generation provides "price certainty" and reliability in a volatile market.

  • The ACP Argument: We believe this shifts the financial risk from private investors back to you, the ratepayer. In a competitive market, if a plant goes over budget, the owners lose money. In a monopoly "reregulated" system, that extra cost usually ends up on your bill for decades.

Frequently Asked Questions

  • How much can I save by switching suppliers in 2026? While "Standard Offer Service" rates are volatile, shopping can save the average Marylander 5% to 15% on the supply portion of their bill, especially if you lock in a fixed-rate plan during high-price periods.

  • What is the "Reliability Backstop Auction"? Proposed for September 2026, this mechanism aims to offer 15-year price certainty to drive the rapid construction of new, reliable power generation in-state.

  • Can I still get help with my bill? Yes. The Office of Home Energy Programs (OHEP) and the Residential Energy Equity Grant Program are active. You can find more info at the Maryland Energy Administration.

Conclusion: Join Maryland’s Next Chapter Maryland’s energy future is a work in progress. By staying informed and using your power to choose, you help ensure that the grid remains accountable, affordable, and green.

Alliance for Competitive Power

The Alliance for Competitive Power believes we must keep energy markets open and competitive and not allow electricity monopolies to dictate prices and limit your choices. By protecting and encouraging competition in electricity generation markets, we can drive down costs while working to make sure power generation doesn’t fall back into the hands of an elite few.

https://www.allianceforcompetitivepower.org/
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